DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY Demographics and Enrollment Projection Study The School District of Clayton 2024-2025 School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 2 All information within this study is copyrighted, and considered the intellectual property of Business Information Services, LLC. It is provided to this school district for its inter- nal use. Any other use by other school districts, competitors of Business Information Services or others without express written permission is prohibited. Figure 1. Aerial view of the School District of Clayton, 2024. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 3 Executive Summary……………………………………………………………………………………………………………4 Key Findings……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...5 Long-Range Projections……………………………………………………………………………………………………..8 Demographics Profile……………….…………………………………………………………………………………….…38 Enrollment Profile……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..48 Economics Profile……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..66 Housing Profile……………………………………………………………………………………………….………………..74 Building Profiles………………………………………………………………………………………………...……………..94 Third-Party Reports…………………………………………………………………………………………………….……100 CONTENT School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ered to the district on Nov. 13, 2024. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 5 KEY FINDINGS School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 6 Figure 2. Distribution of schools in the School District of Clayton,

in the district—3 elementary schools, a middle school and a high school The district covers 3.21 sq. miles and there is a to- tal population in the district of 19,989. By 2033, the dis- trict’s population is expected to in- crease by only 39 persons. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 7 REASONS FOR THE STUDY School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 8 LONG-RANGE PROJECTION ANALYSIS Figure 3. District K-12 Enrollment, 1991-2025. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 9 School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 10 Figure 4. District K-12 enrollment trend, 2016-2025. Figure 5. District K-12 cohort survival rates, 2021-25. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 11 School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 12 Figure 6. Census population for School District of Clayton, 1990-2020. Figure 7. Census school-age population in Clayton district. 1990 2000 2010 2020 % of Total Population Ages 5-17 12.8% 12.9% 12.4% 13.2% 1990 2000 2010 2020 Average Age of Population 38.1 years 34.5 years 35.1 years 36.2 years 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 13 Figure 8. Population of 5-Year Age Cohorts, 1990-2020 Censuses. School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 14 Figure 9. Birth data by ZIP codes, the Clayton district, 1999-2023. Figure 10. Proportion of Kindergarten-age children living in the dis- trict that enroll in the district’s Kindergarten classes, 2007-2025.

Figure 10. Proportion of Kindergarten-age children living in the dis- trict that enroll in the district’s Kindergarten classes, 2007-2025. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 15 Figure 12. Housing and development data is used in time series fore- casting to produce the Model 5-Household Data ans Student Yield Ratios. Figure 11. Demographic data is used with time series forecasting in two projection models: Model 2 – Enrollment Projections from US Census and Student Yield Ratios, and Model 3 – Enrollment Projec- tions from Cohort Survival Rates and Kindergarten Pools. School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 16 Figure 13. Projection Model 1, 2021-2035. Figure 14. Projection Model 2, 2010-2035. 2024-2025 Enrollment and Demographics Study © Business Information Services, LLC Page 17 Figure 16. Projection Model 4, 2011-2035. Figure 15. Projection Model 3, 2016-2035. School District of Clayton © Business Information Services, LLC Page 18 Figure 17. Projection Model 5, 2011-2035.